The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia.
AIA: It cost about HK$ 62.73 million to buy back nearly 1.07 million shares. AIA Holdings Limited announced that it spent about HK$ 62.73 million to buy back about 1.07 million shares that day, accounting for 0.0098% of the issued shares, and the repurchase price per share ranged from HK$ 563,84942 to HK$ 598,0954.France urges Israel to withdraw from the Syrian buffer zone.Health Yuan: Obtained the commitment letter of stock repurchase loan from financial institutions of no more than 238 million yuan. Health Yuan announcement, the company recently obtained the commitment letter of loan from Industrial Bank, with a loan amount of no more than 238 million yuan, no more than 90% of the upper limit of repurchase amount, and a loan period of no more than 36 months, which is specially used to repurchase shares of listed companies. The total amount of the company's actual loan and the amount of the repurchased funds shall not exceed the upper limit of the amount of this repurchase program. The commitment letter of the financial institution's stock repurchase loan obtained this time does not represent the company's commitment to the repurchase amount. The specific number of shares repurchased shall be subject to the actual number of shares repurchased at the expiration of the repurchase period.
It is reported that the Bank of Japan thinks that it is no harm to raise interest rates later, but it does not rule out taking action in December. On December 11th, according to informed sources, officials of the Bank of Japan believe that it is not costly to raise interest rates later, and they are still open to taking action next week, depending on data and market trends. The authorities believe that even if the Bank of Japan decides to wait until January or later, it will not pay a huge price, because there are signs that there is little risk that inflation may exceed the target. They also said that if the December meeting proposed to raise interest rates, some officials would not object. According to people familiar with the matter, officials think it is only a matter of time to raise interest rates again, because the economy and inflation are in line with their forecasts. Before announcing the policy decision on December 19, officials will carefully evaluate the data and financial markets before making a final decision.Colombia's consumer confidence index in November was -5.7, and the forecast was -4.8.ADB approved a loan of US$ 200 million for power infrastructure construction in Pakistan.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide